PaCE will analyse the type, growth and consequences of such movements in terms of their particular characteristics and context. From this, it will analyse the causes of these movements and their specific challenges to liberal democracy a possibilistic analysis to complement survey/statistical approaches. In particular, it will focus on transitions in these movements (especially changes in leadership) as well as how they relate to other kinds of movements and the liberal reaction. PaCE will propose responses to these challenges, developing risk-analyses for each kind of response, each kind of movement and the type of transition. For this, it will employ the agent-based simulation of political processes and attitudes to allow thorough risk analyses to be made. Throughout the project, it will engage with citizens and policy actors, especially groups under-represented in public affairs, face-face and via new forms of democratic participation appropriate to our digital age to help guide the project and to comment on its outputs.
It will develop new tools, based on machine-learning algorithms for identifying and tracking populist narratives and to aid online consultation. It will result in specific interventions aimed at: the public, politicians, activists and educators. It will look further into the future, developing new visions concerning how we could respond to populism and it will warn about longer-term trends.
The Centre for Liberal Strategies will lead the work on analyzing causes, determining the risk factors and devising strategies for countering the negative tendencies of populism in Europe.
Daniel Smilov talks to leading researchers of the Populism and Civic Engagement project on the most significant research findings of the project
Professor Sven Engesser from the Technical University of Dresden
Professor Reinhard Heinisch from the University of Salzburg
Professor Bruce Edmunds of Manchester Metropolitan University
Period: Feburary 2019 - February 2022
Coordinators: Ruzha Smilova, Ivan Krastev, Daniel Smilov
Financing Organisation: European Comission